Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 4:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 4:45:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 4:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,137.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
7.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
15,137.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15137 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 4:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
14,049.24 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,068.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,980.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
Net sender
Unknown type
999.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
999.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 999.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:43:53 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
15,137.18 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:45:53 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
5,076.55 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:42:53 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,969.08 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:46:53 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,055.45 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:41:53 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
4,545 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:48:53 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
11,294.27 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:49:53 A.M.
-6 min
2 tx
33.47 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:38:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,068.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:45:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
88.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:45:47 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x00020052dd7a9d9d2c5d235e426bf8e3117429de4679f808300cc7b3f8931abf
999.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:45:47 A.M.
From: 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003300286ef80b504ec145fef88a62544f5c1d0e9063ebe0edc7c0d56ad5656d
8,068.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:45:47 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Tx: 0x006b0050bd7aa5a5bd28e98259ff8818b11c55974e1ca85fe4338b0ec832c3b9
5,980.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:45:47 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x00730055adfe5d2c612ee393bc2c22b0a8f5c5d4dc64e7c9c27bbc3577eb6bc3