Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 4:18:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 4:19:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,093.27
Unexplained QUAI: 13,239.66
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 78% of explained volume
Relative context
6.0x above local average
480x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
16,332.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0065E912C9D58192BcEA2A37d46Ed8dfA674e246 • 0x004c7ffc2B4e01d69661Dd28A1276CF8ddB1cCBE.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16333 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0065E912C9D58192BcEA2A37d46Ed8dfA674e246 • 0x004c7ffc2B4e01d69661Dd28A1276CF8ddB1cCBE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0065E912C9D58192BcEA2A37d46Ed8dfA674e246
Net sender
Unknown type
2,424 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004c7ffc2B4e01d69661Dd28A1276CF8ddB1cCBE
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0035FCb648fAd078d38B68a367D3a355B1abad46
Net sender
Unknown type
667.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
667.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:17:53 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:16:53 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
16,332.93 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:18:53 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3,832.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:19:53 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
3.81 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:14:53 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
105 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:20:53 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
674.2 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:13:53 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
210 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 4:21:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,400 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:18:01 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0065E912C9D58192BcEA2A37d46Ed8dfA674e246
To: 0x004c7ffc2B4e01d69661Dd28A1276CF8ddB1cCBE
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
667.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:18:26 A.M.
From: 0x0035FCb648fAd078d38B68a367D3a355B1abad46
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001f00662036489071e44e73521b83f6b6f7182eb8d15e1603c5cfdb5c9d1133
2,400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x0065E912C9D58192BcEA2A37d46Ed8dfA674e246
To: 0x004c7ffc2B4e01d69661Dd28A1276CF8ddB1cCBE
Tx: 0x002d0012352020e7c5430353754b56af1704a004a8a7f5443439d352719118ca
2.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004f005ae3077fc2208f0c1e5648d871117a769c3027a2c3d9a325061687655a
24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 4:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x0065E912C9D58192BcEA2A37d46Ed8dfA674e246
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x006c006ed33641b77d15726a33655e1a00398abd821ea35273d9f6c4cb6a3ec9
