Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 3:51:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 3:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 91,067.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
18x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
90,817.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 90817 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
80,652.11 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Net sender
Unknown type
52,103.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
13,696.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,165 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,165 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 80,652.11 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
5,115.82 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:49:53 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
90,817.1 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:51:53 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:52:53 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
53,969.98 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:53:53 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
12,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:46:53 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
88,243.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:54:53 A.M.
-6 min
1 tx
13,696.24 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:44:53 A.M.
+6 min
1 tx
4,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:56:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
52,103.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:54 A.M.
From: 0x0035aA7F2c26655d359283F41eceD4465F0DC941
To: 0x004FC1E7f3315e73A0d9986505DB98d386366Cd8
Tx: 0x00680067ff827a1776f613df8febba5101dbfb85950790352e170e42f0053003
10,165 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:08 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x005a0065574d422bc5addbc7cf2bd6cacae1d6b75c8bda5f22b3415bb0b309f4
52,103.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:08 A.M.
From: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0035ce357c89e2ee042458f7f6095de4a66e2291e070ebbbbf00e2a1c766
13,696.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:08 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f0061659f0320650e4e92bca1e895c030c75e5b4a5fcd788e95ae7ad7dd98
5,115.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:08 A.M.
From: 0x0066c34F80477f5df953F99d59d7B183fD167a72
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013005f5986813292e625f8cc643a57af7d4c2cfa4c32473feff1718a365fb8
9,737.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:51:08 A.M.
From: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0073f56101dd11a6db26a33a0d93c540f4e35f4206f8704c6ebf3ca8290c