Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 3:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 3:32:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 3:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,590.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
4,590.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4590 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 3:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,557.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
3,056.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000bc5F66E90675A765F8A691772995A73040d9B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,501.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
32.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,557.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
3 tx
4,590.19 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:32:53 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
493.55 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:33:53 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
5,177.19 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:28:53 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
1,534.65 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:26:53 A.M.
+10 min
1 tx
493.35 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:41:53 A.M.
+12 min
Best candidate2 tx
61,840.85 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:43:53 A.M.
-13 min
6 tx
3,029.34 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:18:53 A.M.
+13 min
1 tx
13,696.24 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:44:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,056.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:32:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,056.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:32:02 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f00405fbe0c1b4fc9b5e3b56f227c159a254f754eb0cd7bb3d33059f0e974
1,501.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:32:02 A.M.
From: 0x000bc5F66E90675A765F8A691772995A73040d9B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007200501c20d9864ac305f7968faa908f123c4faf2d40b0dca1e0a0644adfb5
32.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:32:02 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Tx: 0x00620055147f60fa45d90b2b55410f25f3319c52d07e7d1346a06dd471823178
