Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 3:15:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 3:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,954.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
3.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
3,954.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3954 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,954.19 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net sender
Unknown type
1,890.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Net sender
Unknown type
903.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Net sender
Unknown type
355.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00096c96Df1b4095D10e101ac2A85Ece114cE35D
Net sender
Unknown type
351.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,954.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
39.89 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:14:53 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,309.1 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:13:53 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
3,954.19 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:15:53 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,650.67 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:12:53 A.M.
-3 min
20 tx
3,264.76 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:11:54 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
3,787.82 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:10:53 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
3,029.34 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:18:53 A.M.
-5 min
53 tx
1,607.35 QUAI • 56 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:09:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,890.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
903.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0036b3e34c69733590fff9c8a77db2b49de8b3783582cf6564b44348a093
229.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0008833f42b159a2bc6e5d1c969644562be34d9ae3494068d06162d0886c
355.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018007a659f01583dc7b6bddb4ffc76347ba3ad18bf5223ccfff82da5eaf44c
120.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x000c656A4abCEf45a26aCE5d661F96AE9cC36e76
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620057d57f765c2b3eec52046503eadf45fcff49a8f1f4446a3cd79a69c5ec
351.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x00096c96Df1b4095D10e101ac2A85Ece114cE35D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0079b526effbab8e6776329446419f4dc4ff296b87b43fd89d92f1b94d05
1,890.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004800725ee955f4816ddd22a3c90d3c64282c6d3a47e1a4483c09a4384dff19
102.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 3:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000381d62d7da53ba25ae705d2ac7ce3fc8ca1813b7f386a8f29cdd398753