Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 2:59:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,343.97
Unexplained QUAI: 388.73
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
9.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
13,732.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 13733 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,032.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,032.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,077.41 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,245.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,234.04 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
8,739.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:58:54 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,500.57 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:57:53 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
13,732.69 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:59:54 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate18 tx
57,591.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:56:54 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
614.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:00:53 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
1,313.14 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:55:53 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
2,491.18 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/12/2026, 3:01:53 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
9,882.4 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:54:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,032.51 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
423.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00706250e9d0c4386fea48cfeF9bb0d3a09c5f2f
Tx: 0x007f0029d89b960aa5d597fea48a3a88fbf401e85462a22a3bb0e25c5043a33f
566.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0046007093a83c8a4722b9d6e2d2be893a480df89c8455ea5264e9f3d3da11fe
10,032.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:46 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0068003d4147375ead6edefb68b02cc216fac2d0d87b828e26c7a0c783d9f6f2
22.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00700CA8F0BA121975dd38aF7E6C1D8Fdd75e737
Tx: 0x006f0047feeada52c0962f36a029ecfb6619888c4bc2dac399d0fde0ac3125be
358.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x002f0079ac502bb39a7b90c1c37c5233a021806b99dabb09da497e75b8279fd5
1,245.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Tx: 0x00040003334440face83382009cb5d0b94a9e226cafba46357f7a0a9e8468e4e
103.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A570Ade45E3Fc1bdE376D88614526c181Ab7c
Tx: 0x0074004251a9118af0991fe8334591b4a306fed9d2a59767660a10500a437774
386.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f68a2B8BB099c08370c14e9656d24bcf60638
Tx: 0x002400403b5d3b66cca5765675e8a8b58dd8acaf1fd01d5a0d2cfe55b2a0f13f
205.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:59:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x0015003930071f218b3bb83581276d13b31b0e0addc4f7c281e9d4cd8135719a
