Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,699.37
Unexplained QUAI: 2,432.85
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
2.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
4,132.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4132 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,017.29 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net receiver
Unknown type
497.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
465.88 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002e8FAa296766d87778910276B1EC6bFA3D4A78
Net receiver
Unknown type
299.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
Net receiver
Unknown type
257.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate29 tx
26,122.56 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:21:33 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,470.05 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:20:32 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
4,132.21 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:22:32 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
15,457.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
+2 min
18 tx
18,714.77 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:23:32 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
24,375.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:18:32 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
5,385.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:24:32 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
3,183.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
497.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
299.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002e8FAa296766d87778910276B1EC6bFA3D4A78
Tx: 0x003e007f6342f7dfba0c2e30a0bccaa3f22415e6008875524810b3e0ecd12db5
257.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
Tx: 0x003a006db1552c2ebc63ca362eb257e1448153049398d79109d747664a506839
25.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000f793D7F6E29b46c41843417F56125F0c1c6be
Tx: 0x002e0027301713970ab6df20033618e0b211bd4a5b19a6b8c7dd9ce361b86969
24.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F8005224A4337d1b0B90898792343862cc0Fd
Tx: 0x0021000060c1fba260c00c27e1449a22db4768f7930213887b46609dcae80a29
75.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000E9f6DdDB622C9A6B09Ad754bd9F5b0c494b58
Tx: 0x006f002cd399cbcfd40eb1b8446a45be54f423ade066ad24175744fe828f9a3f
497.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x00750030aad7df79c33d88a5bb7228f0db60461418fa14fb1297cdf5625207d5
26.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:35 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000E3cEF50313467e36f893fbC09fb41B0897720
Tx: 0x0066004befb67667c222d1b0b737bfdfb5aaf89f2a9317dbc8b2b627c635fd8f
89.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x005b0038cf9a021e02adbc4055c57633ae07607225984c81fb68c8e3e8b27e0f
30.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002dFF1c932DeE91073c74F474AE95eE7a5Aae64
Tx: 0x0001000c960679d837c590f2436922d4517ffbdea1a2cabdcaaeeb4bf209a9fa
69.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003E0506Ab19f0dE7B61C120102cF640F48Db51d
Tx: 0x0015000118c967c8c1ca509c0ad0ba1077d9f06941502dfe39b0e415962d2b32
28.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002d9879066dafFA65f3E73BDEd7371e2371626A
Tx: 0x00640069ad2d4ca3908e2ed8c6ca157214afaf3d7afacd1488bb15c39ba1f467
27.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000D852Db84134C988dd36e091871992121baF46
Tx: 0x003b001f220a17cfd563e86dc6e5c5d85832efec627d0a1736df7f567971893a
161.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002c7a1bc5C6d6258B77A2B98398e3D417C29d63
Tx: 0x0027002af95efcfcf58779927c0641bd631f7857845da2e2023020354023e528
24.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003Dc4eDA0c79E6B30DAebC1110Bb0268e9a6713
Tx: 0x0045003a9ee2ecbed07a26f6f66af63f6504bb751f8455a06e71fcff5a5be9db
61.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
Tx: 0x003900685b93d1cb551f571938fdb2a68bed4107c6f13ec4e249fec7d6a41234