Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
81% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,808.87
Unexplained QUAI: 4,566.59
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
13x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
24,375.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24375 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
10,422.37 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,060.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
8,851.43 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,038.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
740.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
3,183.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,836.39 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:16:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate15 tx
24,375.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:18:32 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
1,630.68 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:15:32 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
15,457.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
13,064.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:14:32 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,470.05 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:20:32 A.M.
-4 min
19 tx
5,302.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:13:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,060.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
26.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0027897FAb2912fedF34d75f9BD319Ea3B6991a8
Tx: 0x00680001e99dd868b61110945ba6b9343bc0b0b67b6d24472015b4b1701eaa6a
397.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003652E20175d40e92f1EeC33d9EBa084f25E6Bb
Tx: 0x000b0059070cdcd42555785f89dacb87b22079cd4fd8bea0a974cd634c2ef1bf
688.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x0031002170c21a30c37dba2405d0904c3e2de64795a815806ff4810a715feb7e
740.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x006b005fe2577831cb9ab3d381d3bda3c44809331df3530ddaa2d91fcdf7e505
168.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x00120047958651a186ca86764788cca48e104b92f9dc3b7ca796dc2bf2cb5b57
353.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x005a003e7ca3b65b789f9c49e9074db57fba3e598e029cf80a1da7c8ec3bce09
427.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x001b0039d31c6497404ffc5e4d69c57c2b00f251a5b3540c161af9c139b834e8
373.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x003b00610b77c49f5ffc026ae1dd4cebf382102b411a333d8e076317371e8bcb
9,060.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x002900518337c52e5c80727019d18890419f1ddf09874972f808595f16e8a455
7,038.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
Tx: 0x005f0012c84b0fa7b036e8ac996952fcb0fba23b1eb8e171fad42588fc8ffe6e
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0045003b73f173c0f2dcc960bd8f8f93691c6c1f6c6f69786ad282dd4917b8b8
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x003A75ae3e3AB62bBF82767A054C4d8E5E3286D3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e0025f575688725fdcd6cd46a35a340bd6a80fde38d68a225cd33e20ab96a
4.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x004911245dA136fadA239278C50a8dDa54EcE9a3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b001fe111de4eeb9e49eadc80bd922fa93a396a9647af91924e7b450759ef
5.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f0040489275f949b17ce6fcc86e7b2565b269b1ff21bfb0d765b68c3ce712
5.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005800772eb182b743740a1830249eb294ce012ebc22667d68d4d7de940d4d57
4.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x003d23573428E39Ec8D44a95211E7F5473CbDF8b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a00438e8b960e06cf6f2f5b6cf00c52ed49749658464a1b066267babc9e44
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x000afB9497DA84fBEE89BFec38beF65b84819A00
Tx: 0x001e004f30a86b66b1e996f591dd98b49fbc164b951055683598d35120c085d5
5.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:18:23 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007c00252733b7a120c1784f119336a209ded58e4476aec8516fe0e284bbb0c5
