Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,139.92
Unexplained QUAI: 490.77
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
1,630.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1631 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
616.3 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93
Net receiver
Unknown type
373.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
316.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001E7790F6107e17Ff7a8B44cB8DcB5329D894F0
Net receiver
Unknown type
270.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net receiver
Unknown type
242.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
13,064.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:14:32 A.M.
-1 min
19 tx
5,302.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:13:32 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,630.68 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:15:32 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate22 tx
24,639.04 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:12:33 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,836.39 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:16:32 A.M.
-3 min
21 tx
7,589.35 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:11:33 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
3,183.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:17:32 A.M.
-4 min
32 tx
1,914.93 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:10:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
373.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
46.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001f3E19dDB09B46450F8Df87120f8C3C66C16cC
Tx: 0x000700308195794f16aa73509d796b80763d726c6f529b295311a8e2589a9fd1
121.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x00120026ae5826f26f0cf4c8747ad0bcc751d6974caa6ee72999e4839d4bf093
242.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x000e0027ed143f8cc9dffc9f38d8153352eb3372843175096c5ffa06ce272253
44.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003AcC63Bd5026DFA08032d064f158A912175009
Tx: 0x0039005db73b28778a412a30709c84c1672e9e0cea4e36c31a134a9a86e9011c
270.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001E7790F6107e17Ff7a8B44cB8DcB5329D894F0
Tx: 0x007a0065d2d258c0d8819a6654c17d3306bfee7251574b0b526531f5982a304b
373.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93
Tx: 0x0077001ff0e0dad21af6649fc24eb1a2089396e6aa827c389b16ef7221254d35
40.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x004d000f17540ac03999349e9e1f54937afe36137c59292b840294c9aa27e7c2