Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 1:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 1:55:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 1:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36,901.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
656x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
36,901.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 36902 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 1:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
25,312.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
Balanced
Unknown type
19,739.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
11,349.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,349.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
5,812.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 25,312.52 QUAI
From exchange: 11,349.11 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
56.28 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:53:50 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
36,901.63 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:55:50 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
25,312.93 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:52:50 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
112,594.26 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:56:50 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,281.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:57:50 A.M.
-6 min
1 tx
1,101.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:48:49 A.M.
+6 min
1 tx
12,213.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:00:50 A.M.
+9 min
Best candidate6 tx
138,677.22 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/12/2026, 2:03:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,499.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:55:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5,812.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:55:09 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f006d7b288fba88f9f3cbba78d27b3f6ea601c8211188944bf078e0da1d8c
19,499.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:55:09 A.M.
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200052b544d09e08e68e90a1225bfcd94b1e8bd991547deae663ddddcba54f
240 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:55:09 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004E6B4f222646cD18ed200807FEEFC47eE48dfA
Miner wallet
To: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
Tx: 0x004700395c22cb63cfbf4630d811d4a4eb4783d0f226089b49491374b1f913cb
11,349.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:55:09 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Tx: 0x007c0035ea1f1961fab208d9008646617337f299a856b8afe08cfd0e6d683523