Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 1:14:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,794.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
10,794.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10794 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
10,289.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,145.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,143.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0076269790BFCf5CdCE2A12bE88165725dc98C11
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 5,143.25 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
10,192.48 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:12:47 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,794.36 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:14:47 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
579 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:10:47 A.M.
-4 min
51 tx
1,196.99 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:09:48 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
10,192.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:17:47 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
755.24 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:08:47 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
4.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:18:47 A.M.
-8 min
1 tx
158.42 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 1:05:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,145.9 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:14:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:14:37 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x007116FD1318776F1009a2528B7d82e603cfCf4c
Tx: 0x00350059f8521c616eb3aa73b53fa96b8f0e17ed016a45ce888ef25a275ce244
5,145.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:14:21 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae
Tx: 0x005e0046f0a12087489969c46fc88b09d481e8a3409e30f30f8e8894a5eea502
5,143.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:14:14 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x006800318e856c1a883b4e4d157bd3e241aea2a4fbac440f0d95c6bb0c96d689
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 1:14:14 A.M.
From: 0x0076269790BFCf5CdCE2A12bE88165725dc98C11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006c0026a562ee7e3a425bb5780ace5e3295f266f51e5666a3411c8b32fe3515