Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 12:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 12:56:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,982.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
47x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
9,982.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9982 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 12:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
9,982.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,992.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
4,989.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 4,989.69 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
11,996 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:55:51 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
214.65 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:54:51 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
9,982.03 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:56:51 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
217.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:53:51 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
700 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:57:51 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,246.17 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:59:15 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
103.01 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:51:51 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
217.26 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 12:59:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,992.34 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 12:56:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4,992.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 12:56:39 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
Tx: 0x0034003e5285b3068ee7f28b630e9cfd9eba8cfda5bf51e67d88f8b69bda2b69
4,989.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 12:56:10 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0020002beac2ed667cfa98c096b6b34ef5cd8715ec98447938be2bc5e44253c4