Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 11:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 11:13:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,428.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
19x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
14,428.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14428 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 11:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,425.05 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,058.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
3,917.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57
Net sender
Unknown type
243.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FA07362D4A8E7dffc1Ac993aEA59Bfc5e4699
Net sender
Unknown type
102.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,425.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
24 tx
755.1 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:11:46 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
14,428.47 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:13:45 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
831.75 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:09:46 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3,917.78 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:08:45 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
13,725.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:16:46 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
219.55 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:07:45 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate4 tx
16,296.09 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:19:13 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
151.56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:05:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,058.93 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3,917.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f006d47832f85021d6e6f4c30a4d2874c76bfc64c2a4aac3356e044f8a444
102.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031006d46b54ea198d502bc0d9222c043d4038179526f55d74e9344ed15526b
102.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x001FA07362D4A8E7dffc1Ac993aEA59Bfc5e4699
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f003107d74fa73f6595276ad5ace96da715065dd2db9370022d25c4f53800
10,058.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390023da3f8f2e94831e30a0aef155d4444af0c949cd798e1e68773d95c345
243.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790069be54d3796bc55dafcd5cfff5bcf8b73aff4f2c1b6cb53c5dba961652
3.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x007116FD1318776F1009a2528B7d82e603cfCf4c
Tx: 0x00160075e3cf77a8ad30804dcf47d41fe961cc8400701396fac00d1d7993067e