Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 9:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 9:12:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 9:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 96,138.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
48,568.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x001aa13C0535e4BA15b1561e0ed74e3FF191E34D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 48568 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x001aa13C0535e4BA15b1561e0ed74e3FF191E34D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 9:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Balanced
Unknown type
96,138.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001aa13C0535e4BA15b1561e0ed74e3FF191E34D
Net sender
Unknown type
48,568.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
Net receiver
Unknown type
47,570.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
30 tx
21,085.74 QUAI • 32 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:11:44 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
48,567.48 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:10:44 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate1 tx
48,568.31 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:12:44 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
497.47 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:09:44 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
47,570.13 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:13:44 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
25,590.17 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:15:44 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
47,483.04 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:05:44 P.M.
+8 min
1 tx
21,995.56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 9:19:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
48,568.31 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 9:12:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001aa13C0535e4BA15b1561e0ed74e3FF191E34D
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
47,570.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 9:12:47 P.M.
From: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
To: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
Tx: 0x00360014a3d3e9098c577a9b90c2bbbcf63dc36a36e8f8b269d7f7a4a28e7c9f
48,568.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 9:12:17 P.M.
From: 0x001aa13C0535e4BA15b1561e0ed74e3FF191E34D
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004f005080bee8cab30f2936b000531f9d6488a53b5033023711e7939eda2c0e