Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 8:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 8:38:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 8:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,087.88
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
3,087.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3088 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 8:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,087.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
Net sender
Unknown type
1,951.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
1,136.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,087.88 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
80,138.21 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:37:43 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
3,087.88 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:38:43 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
18,916.9 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:35:43 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
73.33 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:40:43 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,951.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:33:43 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
27,614.97 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:32:43 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
31.76 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:42:43 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
95.56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:31:43 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,951.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:38:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,951.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:38:06 P.M.
From: 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c005d37064a7f88fe51dd2d1bdeffc479dcaf418d27a2b86c9ec1e005a863
1,136.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:38:06 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0050f677f5c85e0d556052cafdb9144ae191e07560c2922a31a1b9044255