Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 8:19:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 8:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,916.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
29,916.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 29917 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209.
MEXC hot wallet -> 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
29,916.57 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209
Net receiver
Unknown type
27,165 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007facb135B3A7CEAB63DDB2f5Fb2B5c1842521A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,655.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001E7493DFbd8E0F1b86FA44f642f09142efee2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
MEXC hot wallet → 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209
2 repeated flows • 27,165 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 29,916.57 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
63.81 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:18:43 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
17,793.45 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:17:43 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
29,916.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:19:43 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
11,606.91 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:15:43 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
358.86 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:21:43 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2,990 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:14:43 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
33,896 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:22:43 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
44,192.15 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:13:43 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
16,040 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:19:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:19:11 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001E7493DFbd8E0F1b86FA44f642f09142efee2D
Tx: 0x005900139f75e3726e6eb101536f8ae42fd0bfce7afe374594d065e7a97081d6
16,040 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:19:11 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209
Tx: 0x002d001e4291191a0d465667af4080a4c2a4ce69857ec5fa47c221c25caf416d
2,655.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:19:11 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007facb135B3A7CEAB63DDB2f5Fb2B5c1842521A
Tx: 0x00110069d91f07886c0657876aded15abd283f4a4b5ac3e9a5faab20e2120174
11,125 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:19:11 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0071Bc1b681E322d31444f5DE6AA501579Cc4209
Tx: 0x001f00426840ea11500d110c059f7908aa626852a6a4a871f4bd06336255a959