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Spike bucket

07/11/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/11/2026, 8:07:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 8:08:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 40,249

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume

Relative context

5.0x above local average

19x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

40,017 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 40017 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 58

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.

0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (3 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/11/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf

Net sender

Unknown type

40,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C

Net receiver

Unknown type

40,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0064210622Ae7F6c3371f7eDB667c1f0dEca19A0

Net sender

Unknown type

242 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0029a33a03B3be90446859f4b0bF8DAFae477597

Net receiver

Unknown type

242 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05

Net sender

Unknown type

7 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211

3 repeated flows • 7 QUAI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.