Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 4:53:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,283.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
3,283.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3283 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,283.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net sender
Unknown type
2,182.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003B7811a76906079E85AA54fdcc711739eA9554
Net sender
Unknown type
1,100.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,283.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
3,283.47 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:53:46 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
3,680.01 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:49:46 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,100.93 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:48:46 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
395.65 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:59:46 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
134.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:44:46 P.M.
+8 min
1 tx
1,585.55 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 5:00:46 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
2,098.16 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:43:46 P.M.
-10 min
3 tx
2,425.38 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:42:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,182.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:53:29 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,100.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:53:29 P.M.
From: 0x003B7811a76906079E85AA54fdcc711739eA9554
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028004c35feee976b49287efff9f358f5be78c435d9e4d64a8d4e2d5ed82b4a
2,182.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:53:29 P.M.
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a001526d301a443993c7efdbe3434fd679b78651f199138b106acd664dd4f