Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 4:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 4:42:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 4:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,523.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
2,425.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00427bF9E2B287C2E3807758b667bda136A7e68F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2425 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00427bF9E2B287C2E3807758b667bda136A7e68F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 4:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
4,193.66 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00427bF9E2B287C2E3807758b667bda136A7e68F
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,098.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
2,095.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
292.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
292.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 2,095.5 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
3 tx
2,425.38 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:42:46 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,098.16 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:43:46 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
263.6 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:38:46 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
134.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:44:46 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
1,547.07 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:35:46 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
1,100.93 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:48:46 P.M.
-8 min
4 tx
1,954 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:33:46 P.M.
+8 min
Best candidate5 tx
3,680.01 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 4:49:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,098.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:42:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00427bF9E2B287C2E3807758b667bda136A7e68F
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2,098.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:42:47 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00427bF9E2B287C2E3807758b667bda136A7e68F
Tx: 0x007d00430f6a5a35cd970aace09c612972d6d8404046af84135aa7989a5215ba
2,095.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00550021a5c7c7c286394709515e7547d13c6ffbbd6ea6e8250c5c2512a14abe
292.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x00210059daaa4b13d0e6219c3235b878783d87bc962fd09d39e990ef824b57d5
37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Tx: 0x00710040a78ede24d1d5455b390d9322135b95e0fdf47d5fec9ef07493eaa595