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Spike bucket

07/11/2026, 2:34:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/11/2026, 2:34:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 2:35:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

0% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 6

Unexplained QUAI: 1,229.22

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume

Relative context

1.6x above local average

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

1,235.22 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + low confidence + 1235 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 37

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.

0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 07/11/2026, 2:34:00 P.M.

Coverage gap high (100% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05

Net sender

Unknown type

6 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211

Net receiver

Unknown type

6 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211

2 repeated flows • 6 QUAI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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2 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 4. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.