Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 1:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 1:00:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 1:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,564.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
9,564.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9565 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 1:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,559.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
5,946.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038B3031D9Db3b623fc2dDB382B7b2A197d5518
Net sender
Unknown type
3,613.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,559.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
9,564.97 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:00:11 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate21 tx
78,601.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:57:57 P.M.
+10 min
50 tx
764.36 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:10:11 P.M.
+11 min
24 tx
589.78 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:11:11 P.M.
+12 min
1 tx
32.99 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:12:11 P.M.
+13 min
1 tx
109.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:13:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,946.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:00:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,613.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:00:02 P.M.
From: 0x0038B3031D9Db3b623fc2dDB382B7b2A197d5518
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00740063174afa3912c871d8b2874d61b82cc7694d89e1b1465d44cf25004498
5,946.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:00:02 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069002546f33b7c8f7589dc882b1b686e7a1b42ff071fffda3d4426ad36bbb4
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:00:02 P.M.
From: 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x00180079070c39da69a9ea6017b430056dc0707f3cfacd52079a94b214616722