Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 12:50:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,344.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
53x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
21,344.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21344 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00237EAeF48DEC9AfB0fbA561ee32f85bB77B167 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,157.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
13,755.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
4,402 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
3,187.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00237EAeF48DEC9AfB0fbA561ee32f85bB77B167
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,187.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00237EAeF48DEC9AfB0fbA561ee32f85bB77B167
2 repeated flows • 3,187.25 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,157.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+8 min
Best candidate21 tx
78,601.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:57:57 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
399.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:40:32 P.M.
-10 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:39:31 P.M.
+10 min
3 tx
9,564.97 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:00:11 P.M.
-11 min
2 tx
10,259.92 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:38:31 P.M.
-12 min
1 tx
1,598.72 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:37:31 P.M.
-13 min
2 tx
3,788.84 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:36:31 P.M.
-14 min
2 tx
1,879.17 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:35:31 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,755.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:50:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
13,755.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:50:17 P.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074003a68686c2a889a0b1b47dcf0336481fd604998ec04c428b1dabc8a9fd7
4,402 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:50:17 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006300733b3a33c5f8eff9d410765931d3b29f4e79ee7b20236e74018a12c76d
1,593.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:50:17 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00237EAeF48DEC9AfB0fbA561ee32f85bB77B167
Tx: 0x000100757fe2ae0fb1b5a5b9c7bc524312ec2c9a840e028ea34dd42b96c9caad
1,593.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:50:17 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00237EAeF48DEC9AfB0fbA561ee32f85bB77B167
Tx: 0x00000042fd1fa590fa625dc94990301ea633f73aa11b01b0e9b7edb8f2ae9fa7