Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 12:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 12:41:00 P.M. to 07/11/2026, 12:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 26,637.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
6.3x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
26,637.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 26638 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 12:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
26,594.85 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net sender
Unknown type
13,906.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
8,659.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0023dD1dF191ab27Ce416dD916af1C130CbF9d33
Net sender
Unknown type
3,722.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
305.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 43 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 26,594.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
399.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:40:32 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:39:31 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
10,259.92 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:38:31 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,598.72 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:37:31 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
3,788.84 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:36:31 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
1,879.17 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:35:31 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate1 tx
13,906.8 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:34:31 P.M.
-7 min
3 tx
1,946.84 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:33:31 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,906.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
305.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047007b5c936c86dd48e87d009634e5b578055d55defaf009cdcd99adc200a2
8,659.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630074c90ecdc475cf62c62652d9dc14a8f9bb641e37ad265a24cf2fca793f
3,722.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x0023dD1dF191ab27Ce416dD916af1C130CbF9d33
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00220066bb9a9976e2e30e052cdaa0abb000e8f140a8b2350985e562921e7080
13,906.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060036689370c0f196dae1fe669ada2cfc8b471a8bcf485f35947163bf96e3
42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0074004a6af176cb53c13ab64b6ed25cfb05381f065a1938c93a0cd3a5731537
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:32 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003b006b73e8d2de73cab27b20ce41f701b359d86d786c064aff610be4dccb80