Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 11:07:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 11:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 222.01
Unexplained QUAI: 4,127.4
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
8.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
4,349.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003FbC7a203051344c65491A8Dd79562eaDe7382 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 4349 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003FbC7a203051344c65491A8Dd79562eaDe7382 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003FbC7a203051344c65491A8Dd79562eaDe7382
Net sender
Unknown type
222.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
222.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4,349.41 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:07:23 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
84,068.94 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:06:23 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
499.67 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:08:23 A.M.
+2 min
50 tx
615.24 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:09:24 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:04:23 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
3.83 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:10:23 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
24,584.86 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:03:23 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
17,583.83 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/11/2026, 11:11:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
222.01 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:07:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003FbC7a203051344c65491A8Dd79562eaDe7382
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
222.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 11:07:50 A.M.
From: 0x003FbC7a203051344c65491A8Dd79562eaDe7382
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00450079befedd91c781702f9ef8b7f718413e8775a8803ce4169d852c54da70
