Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 8:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 8:41:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 8:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,233.57
Unexplained QUAI: 19,964.32
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
14x previous minute
17x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
21,197.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002D86B166B31306074dcD23f0aDba29Aa24121F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21198 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002D86B166B31306074dcD23f0aDba29Aa24121F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 8:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,175.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002D86B166B31306074dcD23f0aDba29Aa24121F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,175.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
58.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,175.13 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
21,197.89 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:41:02 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,546.45 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:40:02 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,233.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:42:02 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate6 tx
57,532.78 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:39:02 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
19,231.59 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:43:02 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5,657 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:38:02 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
333 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:37:02 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
4,190.75 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 8:45:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,175.13 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:41:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002D86B166B31306074dcD23f0aDba29Aa24121F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,175.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:41:31 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002D86B166B31306074dcD23f0aDba29Aa24121F
Tx: 0x0079000f4e5c074d3c1257674f81160ec4f1b457bac083abed384d22c30b6fef
58.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 8:41:31 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0028002e0e2b8eb720a1035eaaf688edf7703ccb2dcb5d528a2ef7336d73674c
