Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 7:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 7:17:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 7:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,101.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015E65842FaEAa19176e36CEF3865c4f7F656fc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015E65842FaEAa19176e36CEF3865c4f7F656fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 7:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
23,101.62 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0015E65842FaEAa19176e36CEF3865c4f7F656fc
Net sender
Unknown type
9,639.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
8,880.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
2,849.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003dE1Cf327f120935B7Db3F4501f445638E65CB
Net sender
Unknown type
999.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 23,101.62 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:16:01 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
23,101.62 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:18:01 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
7,151.51 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:19:01 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
3.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:14:00 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
10,639.94 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:13:01 A.M.
-5 min
18 tx
1,383.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:12:01 A.M.
-6 min
2 tx
11,730.71 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:11:00 A.M.
-7 min
50 tx
616.92 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:10:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,639.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0015E65842FaEAa19176e36CEF3865c4f7F656fc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
418.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0022004a6025fdca3516f3fa5f1ff36c0fbaba4b08f9eb9c1afa66c40fd73966
9,639.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x0015E65842FaEAa19176e36CEF3865c4f7F656fc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e003333e4bde87b4b2418c8722850c08e94fbc5649c406251d3f2782ec461
105.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00530048b4ddc9b1da86336d2af335aae400014fb7f564dcd3faa5b3340555fc
8,880.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00100037851c9d5f327b2b87374fcfef17f6b4314a5222cfde394dfc70fcdbc1
104.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00100001452ddf76e71f99945826fd1ca8521778bfe8097bddba6cebcd80bd0b
999.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x003dE1Cf327f120935B7Db3F4501f445638E65CB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d005809ca1272b7772d85d95cdf9927578d52fcea40eefe3549c6ae218352
103.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e006773e7710d04ed79e4b39f551ae72536147f6dea321c0ab980c9d719a5
2,849.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:17:24 A.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00230060c2fbf752e9d5c7d510730556df3446fb13514614a94c2214dff6270f