Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 7:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 7:11:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 7:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
12% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,383.09
Unexplained QUAI: 10,347.63
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
19x previous minute
8.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
11,730.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 11731 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 7:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,383.09 QUAI across 18 visible rows
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net receiver
Unknown type
418.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
316.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net receiver
Unknown type
189.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
11,730.71 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:11:00 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
616.92 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:10:01 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
1,383.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:12:01 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
10,639.94 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:13:01 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,003.13 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:08:00 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
3.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:14:00 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:16:01 A.M.
+7 min
Best candidate8 tx
23,101.62 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/11/2026, 7:18:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
418.95 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
53.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x000d0069c989985a3ef2199a89985d071d537a3f614ccf5a333230524eb11d83
7.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x001e005a74a3ee6a177a057cda5181802d0216c3c833f05da9d375d0323374c3
5.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
Tx: 0x004d004555f9f034cf6c539cbfc66b568a1ed2fcca62d4207f16407d767dc791
5.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x004e00035e9e5fa2a0b543365b9587e33de25df3bce11a0ea0cb7fa0cd9d5666
6.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Tx: 0x000a004aeaa3d2fe5f5d648c31be39201d1aa03471f6eed16e31429d4d92f70b
418.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Tx: 0x0064004b5c23ecb2cb81a3e9259dfb4cfa43b457e5835ae197f9815f8ce09511
6.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x00350074c5fc29c5a6979a976aff6540b4d7c3a0e0e4734a17343231d6ae283f
17.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x00050025d4810aa5931de81159fa280cf18b598559067b92cc78ec31c84fbe0b
120.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00320011d1cb462e79f8d7a92873900a6366a36e964bc3b2944d01622f19fb55
189.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Tx: 0x003c003b56f15acdf7c91fbf143822148e07178dc9e1d92736a9a498b791983a
4.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0026001dbb94873f92f8795b415edf283ffefe3acc3038b5c127249dfe1e2a07
115.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0061002a26f0dee2cd410cad1e639a8241cc1876bced2465f40ff679a7c32208
4.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x005b005c42b6e41343c8c8e1a2be31cf39428ee05e0a15ec4d624525becfe134
13.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x003b0009dcb6cce4ff080d70dc518287f54c2ebd9cd4f6975fea8f7fb1ebe138
70.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x006300483d402bbf30b5f36466a4e4d7f905af041fff5cb50678e2762538bec6
10.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x00120075ec183dc7a6ff6a70b1f01d71a99b287f8a9772241d3c6a8793ccc4e2
316.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x005c005d68432fe31b0081adb3c051ec7fa258f46a0d8cf74342e7b35dd18eba
14.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x004a001b3c9715fd81f68c9594491a1a136c9d73118af305c443ee1297396a64