Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,579.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
1,579.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1580 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,118.88 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net receiver
Unknown type
661.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
460.78 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0045db332388B7ae9F17e32007bA672b538421A6
Net receiver
Unknown type
368.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Net receiver
Unknown type
297.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
6,751.12 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:39:57 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate36 tx
24,460.32 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:38:57 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,579.66 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:40:57 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
17,775.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:37:57 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
13,707.29 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:41:57 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
8,669.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:36:57 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
8,045.34 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:42:57 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
4,297.59 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:35:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
661.22 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:15 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
89.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0044e23163ab5000Ce9e948DC1Dab454ECD073da
Tx: 0x00060055813116cb01424e89a0ea22a36f5860bcb91a54f42033bb9743ad2c25
297.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x0026001e7710b516b2294cbaabc9aef654da3a0e34f9399fdb17633c575349a3
368.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045db332388B7ae9F17e32007bA672b538421A6
Tx: 0x000f00275974a60a30e979973bbc564f83b7c4043839c97bf2978c205f4c5e77
126.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Tx: 0x00610074292c81f3217492692f5a8d8a6466350500bf8f26709a6e5bb0a5d5b8
37.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a589ef5f1617D763a50dF17186aa14A79A767
Tx: 0x005a00631e4bf9e4805b09a8a31d21597a3f2e97084502ca47a95107ddcddb17
661.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:40:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x00410065dd2a9dbfef6ac4019b3733852b52babbc5d95a7264becc609488b5bc
