Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
78% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,743.29
Unexplained QUAI: 492.6
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
2,235.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2236 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,068.6 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,038.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
578.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0018f0d5d2d5A16726383829a4bC8D6949970FBE
Net receiver
Unknown type
547.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
95.74 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
826.38 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:21:57 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate27 tx
48,833.91 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:20:58 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
2,235.89 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:22:57 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
4,880.18 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:19:57 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
13,270.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:23:57 A.M.
-3 min
19 tx
3,431.91 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
4,200.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:24:57 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
5,026.21 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:17:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,038.69 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:52 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
29.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0029DfC4f4494E86d7Df817f3714ffFE6fD183Dc
Tx: 0x000700742edab7b76b9764e0fa865c678c8f00a38ed9f3d85e955408b80acc67
1,038.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Tx: 0x006b00183356c6e7507800b5433e978b2a0b1223443a550cdb00e8b96cd3968b
31.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00194E8CDb0d81019779015d0dd0823e76Cc4e9e
Tx: 0x004a00318e12456469200fe301c9cda9918801ea708025e1bc0389cae3804cc5
547.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0018f0d5d2d5A16726383829a4bC8D6949970FBE
Tx: 0x002a007b925d27a1eed1519a012e8a52fa12490d7f7966ffe42a3226bee5e1f6
66.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
Tx: 0x001f004fb4ffd35e2606b10d65c09286798ad0b78e82173df22fbda2663ce642
29.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0021011F751D2d5713e10e01F753E12FF31D6Bd7
Tx: 0x00430076795200c443da912bc3ba7e6cb020721c329ef62e035b01eff4ccc992
