Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,431.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
19
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
3,431.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3432 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,789.4 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,324.62 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
695.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14
Net receiver
Unknown type
543.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Net receiver
Unknown type
454.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
5,026.21 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:17:57 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
5,988.27 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:16:57 A.M.
+1 min
19 tx
3,431.91 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:18:57 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
10,542.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:15:57 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
4,880.18 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:19:57 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
4,345.93 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:14:57 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate27 tx
48,833.91 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:20:58 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
19,654.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:13:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
695.95 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
All transfers in this selected minute
19 transactions
454.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x005c00392bf7750643fe3ee77bdf136e456602c2f2021591a05c17e25c6756c6
279.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x0009006e291832cb6bc29fa9ca391efdda639c0a5c236d2122d6e27e07a16d2b
44.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00229Baa5a6E7C77660b78BAE94465DB6ABb0024
Tx: 0x0043006f5d7baefed92be9e9d26fd6b4d85ae16963f26b0fbcbae91dca664bf4
323.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Tx: 0x00140042f2ef5becda68fa575c37dff084ad41beb5f84cfdd95289aa55a8d637
40.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002123822642C46D03FA1D56B4E2E3a27DDc99Ab
Tx: 0x001800040ddfcd7650540de7da9d19be11e0a27ae375e46c880ec61228ad7d50
239.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
Tx: 0x006e0049e9ac618833ceb1a8496fd7e1577f1e6c07b34a6d540629f97c9eab73
355.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Tx: 0x0048007942abff7f1b6efd837fd08d5b182423d5f9e013b353970649d7f0ed50
31.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001662065Bab9E7946EbD59A77480A5D65867a37
Tx: 0x0040002074bec77c5c4ff26db3b53633ecc1ebc325888a9f34fe1b7a7b7e5f79
62.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001392238911BDc59a6850c8b6E5d5dEd1690254
Tx: 0x0057004b8266b817db5a769dc7946193fe53c2a416c57398d65710ac01e7222a
35.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Tx: 0x0075006cc9945ef5fd712b0a43558bb3f091aa0f56bfec315b83cd509e5f30b9
69.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x004200391d9a9dcdfb242c4e760e77239de2aadc25c29f694b4bbaab99cdfd8a
81.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0012aCB04cf313559cE86E8378458619c8f7Bc49
Tx: 0x00330055235aeec0eb9dc4231cb688d57ff80621f0c89eb7075caa1b6663f746
695.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x00380047b601004c25389a5eab9a0834fd043b4664efb891b0933a5f0ded01f6
107.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001959127B1297f6bE9BD34a157Bb060aC7964D2
Tx: 0x0013003a8f2a97ce32f9e43e203a97cb330a6610a8c8d100167b64b720fd8c62
47.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00129C677E0495Cb762f5D7666DF6093498CD6E6
Tx: 0x00410012099b269b56944d5777ee236cadeda5e904104b512fcbcce280fcc2c6
543.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14
Tx: 0x00300009007d588a16a4c7d141b5a834ad3345fee5077023070449af02622059
6.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x002689A191e7caa8C404FACfe182cf8e1CA63296
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0040004483a42abe870a16473cc39f3b59f15f57928d15c13ac6f0af54143269
6.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x005D627e4DbEA2961076AfC599D513F7A497385C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0023005c4e65d99b61a941373398a7df1d9fbe362c9507d0838e0efa0eadb916
7.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x00367af942ffBe5d0b41539d668b595eD5D8202C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0030000223511e925f34357ea585666f16171db57d362e7afd5911edcab78817