Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
91% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,610.28
Unexplained QUAI: 932.33
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
13
76.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
10,542.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 10543 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,285.61 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,861.65 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,622.8 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,012.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,736.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
4,345.93 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:14:57 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate13 tx
19,654.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:13:57 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
10,542.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:15:57 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
16,482.77 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:12:57 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
5,988.27 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:16:57 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
2,486.4 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:11:57 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
5,026.21 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:17:57 A.M.
-4 min
37 tx
3,141.31 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:10:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,508.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:45 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
1,213.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x004f006d3398336d2f5498a4f50f034e926255b03d1ceeb77749ee360ee2f415
44.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00144CfE9c001f911d618FE74eC43589be2f6112
Tx: 0x00750047cff09ce338161dd9af1adbd652fb8244479d5dd5873d97b5f2bd4de1
2,508.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x007d007342ea6e79e0526f41e88365093c70b57cd3692fa342e5865fffc9acba
265.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0039005358e4a781fc9f46aab6986045dd687ab7d2e105f06ade979dbbc8c548
1,736.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Tx: 0x000e001549844f335ce22491f67f4a5fe0f303bdbcdb6e33299f63703187a576
156.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:38 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00134d83cDb40d6CbEbAd441729BF1C9D7B98FF5
Tx: 0x0002004c9586a9929338fac17c644666d542a9e3ff6d42f0138bd92b25c6c437
499.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x0073006ae79d0b448b3c1ce1052278e1a0572ce4219bf0ea7ab2bfd9ee4e56bf
391.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x00540028a1d18548c9b0598d1b33498dcbf5a52614e0056e8aab2596c0945819
95.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0012a08F3940cDf38303C6AEBb1cE2D62a777E49
Tx: 0x0017006888732883c5026377f99c7adf8892303121830347397d3719476c4ba4
114.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0078001eb58259f6a7f44a0b49fac8b1030692969a2db333393deb835161de97
2,012.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Tx: 0x0056000569d9a6859b371f73fa91364a45b81488599686f7ea2208b33a352ddb
520.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x0045006dd88e4e43ef195241b95e792373062c168f957b79145a3ffb7348033f
51.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x007a000c8c6c8bfd2be8058b7ea31235c00154cc2be20951860972b8a9776e9a
