Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 2:03:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,890.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
25,890.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001ef9dF54A440eAA79D94c2C00DB68Aa742B101.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 25890 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001ef9dF54A440eAA79D94c2C00DB68Aa742B101.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
25,890.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001ef9dF54A440eAA79D94c2C00DB68Aa742B101
Net sender
Unknown type
15,199.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
10,690.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 25,890.06 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4,126.18 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:02:56 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
25,890.06 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:03:56 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0.01 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:00:56 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
7,300 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:05:56 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
15,200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:57:56 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1,000.83 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:07:57 A.M.
+6 min
50 tx
706.85 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:08:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,199.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:03:09 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001ef9dF54A440eAA79D94c2C00DB68Aa742B101
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
15,199.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:03:09 A.M.
From: 0x001ef9dF54A440eAA79D94c2C00DB68Aa742B101
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078007334a85931817debeb99a1aba943cdc9017b2324190f163ae877fafc40
10,690.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 2:03:09 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760001f0a5e3bb2050858d171ac14c7c21cd3cc0c7b9a4900a270dc6b70bbe