Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 1:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 1:52:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 1:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,605.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 1:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,605.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
2,361.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003B7811a76906079E85AA54fdcc711739eA9554
Net sender
Unknown type
1,244.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,605.34 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-2 min
2 tx
63,704.49 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:49:56 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
3,605.34 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:53:56 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,246.1 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:48:56 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10,690.62 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:54:56 A.M.
+6 min
1 tx
15,200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:57:56 A.M.
-7 min
Best candidate3 tx
100,936.39 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:44:56 A.M.
-8 min
1 tx
4,505.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:43:56 A.M.
+9 min
1 tx
0.01 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 2:00:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,361.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:52:59 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,244.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:52:59 A.M.
From: 0x003B7811a76906079E85AA54fdcc711739eA9554
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011003dbb165f276de1a2be3fae911d7b379c51e939db0bcf4b5a706d8a8390
2,361.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:52:59 A.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0058ef609a89d69c3c3e196dbc29c056f9133e24bf56551b52ac7ca01730