Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 1:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 1:44:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 100,936.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
100,936.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005cb9DBE8BF96E5F0409Ac96040D6760E73d019.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 100936 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005cb9DBE8BF96E5F0409Ac96040D6760E73d019.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 1:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
98,575.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005cb9DBE8BF96E5F0409Ac96040D6760E73d019
Net receiver
Unknown type
63,635.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
34,939.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
2,361.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,361.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 34,939.55 QUAI
From exchange: 63,635.55 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4,505.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:43:56 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
100,936.39 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:44:56 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,390 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:39:56 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
34,949.37 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:38:56 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
2,246.1 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:48:56 A.M.
-6 min
2 tx
99.78 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:37:56 A.M.
+6 min
2 tx
63,704.49 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:49:56 A.M.
-8 min
Best candidate3 tx
151,658.35 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 1:35:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
63,635.55 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:44:31 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x005cb9DBE8BF96E5F0409Ac96040D6760E73d019
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
63,635.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:44:31 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x005cb9DBE8BF96E5F0409Ac96040D6760E73d019
Tx: 0x001d002018489a1c18609eacd1a514daa79fe8bcf4a542c290caefc8b5583b2e
34,939.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:44:31 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048000e9fcf97261083a8297787dda14e8bf4ffc5f85187670dc1a89ac77745
2,361.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 1:44:31 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x00130021f4cca5f58601085c5c1ecb6d7b86e280a8e21c26d418e24dced9f523