Spike bucket
07/11/2026, 12:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/11/2026, 12:41:00 A.M. to 07/11/2026, 12:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 689.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
689.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 689 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/11/2026, 12:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
689.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
363.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
325.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 689.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
689.18 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:41:36 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
509.37 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:38:36 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1,824.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:42:36 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
2,800.85 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:36:36 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
325.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:33:36 A.M.
-8 min
Best candidate5 tx
25,291.64 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:32:36 A.M.
+8 min
2 tx
1,400.57 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:48:36 A.M.
-9 min
1 tx
66.98 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/11/2026, 12:31:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
363.61 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:15 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
363.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:15 A.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b00534e7216647cbb0d6cb665731d5cee8f2c9a3457c89d2e1e4efc0baa0d
325.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/11/2026, 12:41:15 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044003516bea03b92532327cc5f459dc6ff66420163e3f2e61169d3b25e1647