Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 10:16:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 10:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 340.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
14.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
340.34 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Net sender
Unknown type
130.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
107.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
102.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 340.34 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
14.56 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:16:27 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
340.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:17:27 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
36.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:13:27 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate37 tx
1,285.91 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:11:28 P.M.
-7 min
50 tx
757.3 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:09:28 P.M.
+10 min
1 tx
596.35 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:26:27 P.M.
-12 min
1 tx
597 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:04:27 P.M.
+15 min
1 tx
243.69 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:31:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
130.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:16:56 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
107.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:16:56 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0018cc18113887f9e595a37c86fa4b51eddd4695a11b058629ce4f6419fc
102.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:16:56 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062000fef118eef0683ad46385e955ed6a773399afb21ad2bac3855c6a9ab82
130.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 10:16:56 P.M.
From: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021001e885a31cbf11b53b0404c0090aea2c2ceaf7b37ff73bad2daa1e7ffc4