Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 9:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 9:14:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 9:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 483.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 9:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
483.73 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
Net sender
Unknown type
171.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Net sender
Unknown type
108.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
Net sender
Unknown type
103.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a97D26B816Ab2375cFbfd9a7B22336392be6F
Net sender
Unknown type
101.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 483.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
4 tx
483.73 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 9:15:26 P.M.
-2 min
48 tx
1,720.91 QUAI • 49 addresses
07/10/2026, 9:12:27 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,130.22 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/10/2026, 9:16:26 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
573.55 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 9:10:26 P.M.
-8 min
Best candidate1 tx
2,097.94 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 9:06:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
171.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 9:14:41 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
171.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 9:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730062226075255bdbdbf3e77fb0759cee4493fd65ea7664802ae54fd36b85
103.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 9:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026006d188d6915ee2f5cef5895fca68c4d06acbe54e544a548edf0acf5c39d
101.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 9:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x005a97D26B816Ab2375cFbfd9a7B22336392be6F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a007f2ef981e3edded8655fbcb40d918d22d931f6a5ae85f81b3f672f0208
108.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 9:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070000baaf3ca464075c7e48cee33c576103f0de6d1ebbed34d38dda6fec04f