Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 8:11:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 638.15
Unexplained QUAI: 944.75
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
2.0x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
47
Observable rows
5
10.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
48
Asset volume
1,582.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1583 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
638.15 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
204.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006D3d1D8395e4a8ac02a39981E4e497BB839F1d
Net sender
Unknown type
115.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
Net sender
Unknown type
109.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
Net sender
Unknown type
105.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 638.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate47 tx
1,582.9 QUAI • 48 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:11:04 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
781.52 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:10:04 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
638.15 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:12:03 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2.43 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:08:03 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
60.56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:14:03 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
19.61 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:16:03 P.M.
-10 min
3 tx
1,211.1 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:01:03 P.M.
+10 min
4 tx
419.27 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 8:21:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
204.09 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
103.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x001FA07362D4A8E7dffc1Ac993aEA59Bfc5e4699
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063006895335eb66939e5c38f3229c8e38fcdbb15018c85f58d5cabbe7e5ff2
204.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b00679b0318fdd9749d6bc95d8d7e5fcd6cc2aba905dbe17887ee1cf901a8
115.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x006D3d1D8395e4a8ac02a39981E4e497BB839F1d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0058780359af9f1f71d1b76dc0c851e1ebc56ab641c73be51c29f6532a38
109.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069006c9a4b802cd52757caa78f2609688335ee035d979fffde4916c1d8ea8f
105.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d003608acdfc955644fea66c88967236e3c30edab60330b6b189f0db085ed
