Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 7:17:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 7:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 434
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
24x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
434 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 434 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
434 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611
Net sender
Unknown type
111.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
Net sender
Unknown type
109.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
109.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
104.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 434 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
18.28 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:15:49 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
434 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:17:49 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
121.46 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:14:49 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:20:49 P.M.
-5 min
43 tx
2,493.15 QUAI • 46 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:11:50 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
5,900 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:21:49 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
990.74 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:10:49 P.M.
-7 min
50 tx
732.8 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:09:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:17:25 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
109.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011004d48a2d41f09de0b9b518f440f45df4edb158395fe5f19e007dd786a5b
104.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e001e979a17d925131cd887c9a67ada93525ca0631fe5db6dcd75f9ca4630
111.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0005ad7e3e48738b056dce5b653752e5f57d6076fdbd7722b5bea52e8fed
109.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e00560c537da3d7c7989c4084a9e6a7bcec9874e00620661a0f66ab7b1b3d