Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 7:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 7:10:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,423.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
8.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
24
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
990.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040A402fcf86a532Fa2F0dA0aD038e158d60d09 • 0x0009b1F71fB2F3faCE6d17aB5AbDf62eBDB1A743.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 991 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040A402fcf86a532Fa2F0dA0aD038e158d60d09 • 0x0009b1F71fB2F3faCE6d17aB5AbDf62eBDB1A743.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 7:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040A402fcf86a532Fa2F0dA0aD038e158d60d09
Net sender
Unknown type
985.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0009b1F71fB2F3faCE6d17aB5AbDf62eBDB1A743
Net receiver
Unknown type
985.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
432.95 QUAI across 22 visible rows
0x003cd62B9728fbefde39dc064cb8a11f113cC5f1
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Net receiver
Unknown type
92.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
732.8 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:09:50 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
122 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:08:49 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
990.74 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:10:49 P.M.
+2 min
43 tx
2,493.15 QUAI • 46 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:11:50 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
121.46 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:14:49 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate1 tx
90,999.46 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:03:49 P.M.
+6 min
4 tx
18.28 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:15:49 P.M.
+8 min
4 tx
434 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 7:17:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
985.82 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040A402fcf86a532Fa2F0dA0aD038e158d60d09
To: 0x0009b1F71fB2F3faCE6d17aB5AbDf62eBDB1A743
All transfers in this selected minute
24 transactions
985.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x0040A402fcf86a532Fa2F0dA0aD038e158d60d09
To: 0x0009b1F71fB2F3faCE6d17aB5AbDf62eBDB1A743
Tx: 0x0047004970e97f5b8b2c4c8ad5bf08ae3028bfe29b2b26143f259c7e13cfbaca
4.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x006500390a7235b8b072a934b7473d91b62002696865575996909b23125a5576
8.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x002a0024301ba293abf1a79cc6731f28ecf6c939ae9bb5bdf0f9585ef41eb6be
13.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Tx: 0x00210012ec9313d772dc8df4b1c96307984a0a1c509c79e19bafddf7610f6ae1
103.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003cd62B9728fbefde39dc064cb8a11f113cC5f1
Tx: 0x004b0061c1f083bde5f3f6451966793ca1ab0b378f2abac5f0ac33edc384e69c
52.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
Tx: 0x00490003333c8f735dfca14db43d5f084b4f5a8b3417fe9438988bb020f7c179
5.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005C1814253F27E81bbFE1063f53dc8d5418795c
Tx: 0x002e002ea71bf8e97c4426fa42ae955b8b59fd1d95578602fce6a826727f1eef
5.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Tx: 0x007600446d480457d8fcad8794cf6c61d00e39d241b58848b611b970957f1694
5.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046Dd5E14d75EbDea0e19E948dd84399bB28608
Tx: 0x0030006da51708bd13e32a9dd41016f3a9a03ee002682ae2eb3d4a6721c523a7
5.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001A5f396665F9700f691C29a9b4465A9E06cb1a
Tx: 0x005600156e26ca8c64e4d32205f290eda417d1e04408dff012939d9045838d37
8.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002903dF619f76DF8f0c21B0EBC73725D0555C11
Tx: 0x0071005f261850d599e225f6a54a430ecf7d51c87f023d9c9f793548d62547f4
7.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
Tx: 0x000e0070aa294bb7bb928f0c39b346b06a5e6bdb6ac8c5a777373064b488b1ce
6.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006745Db42371c7dBCab3dEAf37839b33dFf3FE7
Tx: 0x006a005963d919a11144688a599818cbe7b616b0d773972fdb01c7d15cc9adf8
10.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x002d0031d5ba946b972e5580a81ce72973535354d432f74a30365a07767e02b6
7.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x00480012818a09441ab82eb1a6c563f3052b385d2b37fbc1bf7277c3d6643ca6
7.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Tx: 0x005f004a14af47923597f52a3cfc0b6d87e2c0e1b9ae23ffdc00e14880d0a8fc
5.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000A766df7ba011c8682F90126370f308De0C69E
Tx: 0x00620004e107d8975bf4d14af04194b6ee16548907d505d9df87372a4d5dbd74
12.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004374a28A43E3dEa0fC42480E4CE8Ad10736c2B
Tx: 0x0034003b3288c5a918c958d2e4d05df3447187a8545dfb95078efc812365fbff
31.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000d26302a0C81A41B5d303366Ef9439A020Fae2
Tx: 0x0011005f274c8c1d1afceb5387b433a98aa80a33b275a56b36db127bd7f0f4d3
13.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x00290042df178f053ac94a16c3ba911503f2e070c7b9821b44d6bfc48cb54b55
9.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0064003ee7ee77228f28c64ecfccc9513a4e86fe4109ff797e6aef999d5aff5a
13.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x00670018e1abe8c76220a2e4c9cd6903c4e63201ec3d3878efc86602b22e302d
92.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0037002d9897d1a70fb30b0e61f1148f76c064b38d59ae74ca3f590205838ab3
5.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 7:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0022004664ac0f1aee015039f4dbe32289e01cc74091d61b3b1f182e1b120219
