Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 6:14:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,219.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,219.33 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,394.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
Net sender
Unknown type
659.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001530335D6F4e270BFD32110f5dCFb5cD1Ed28B
Net sender
Unknown type
315.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
Net sender
Unknown type
287.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,219.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-2 min
29 tx
1,121.69 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:11:50 P.M.
+2 min
13 tx
3,240.79 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:15:49 P.M.
-3 min
15 tx
477.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:10:49 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
569.07 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:09:50 P.M.
-8 min
Best candidate18 tx
28,857.49 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:05:50 P.M.
-10 min
3 tx
26.52 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:03:49 P.M.
+12 min
33 tx
24,235.37 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:25:50 P.M.
+13 min
4 tx
2,076.59 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/10/2026, 6:27:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,394.28 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
287.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036004d95e1fb9dc64ceed513b1b554a18fc38e32e1cdb56c605f8c5f6c2675
315.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x001530335D6F4e270BFD32110f5dCFb5cD1Ed28B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710039b22cc67e6b24277d71cf5a6756a5c19af369d1a23a3d6b7ee7a85498
109.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021005a090c373d74f6875ad28eeff391ccc7a857ca3eb097e0c25d03e3e6c7
109.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x0063d17cA2Ded4C2718C683Ca5ca587A98C7F660
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0067657a0160c04dc8161913cea93ca0780829d69ba2253c475f13ee9f9d
106.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d003135ad2ecfcfa4bdab7bf1f7afae9c589a9a7cdba141a29a86937385e9
126.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036002ee350e1e60c1efbac3351da663748749ab394448c86b6beb0d0a7cf50
109.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d000e7d7a8d017f5d4bb5decb785e00f36f05986e5a5b5d78375435f45e45
1,394.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e005fcb50d9fd6f190759cbceb5715cecdb40be33bd9a005ce505ac774bbf
659.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 6:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037002d5ca55cef9d30a880ec91cea0c1ba2bcf83162f501f43581c67452c48