Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 4:17:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 4:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 419.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
25x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
419.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 419 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
417.78 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
Net sender
Unknown type
107.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
Net sender
Unknown type
106.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
Net sender
Unknown type
103.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
Net sender
Unknown type
100.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 417.78 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
16.81 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:15:49 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
419.12 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:17:49 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
10.1 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:18:49 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
9.52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:21:49 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate43 tx
1,312.18 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:10:50 P.M.
-7 min
50 tx
545.6 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:09:50 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
185.09 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:23:49 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
2.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 4:08:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
107.15 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 4:17:37 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 4:17:37 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0055003e8a4e6b1c6efdd006762cccc3508fbcba31aaee4dc96505b82ba68233
100.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 4:17:37 P.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040021b47a5035fb0438aa714bdd00aa88dc15bbd323db9a3e7a7187462893
106.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 4:17:37 P.M.
From: 0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036003ad4496cad078fad6bc0b3636e6c57515a43679e760971e4e4e0598e1f
107.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 4:17:37 P.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044002ab5138e5f20a6077249fe03e65b9c86fff078a233557c52d432c43a6e
103.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 4:17:37 P.M.
From: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b000a9409884c637c7a0532ef4bfd9f1ec33ea9d2d33b895e8a75f68e5d00