Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,626.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
6,626.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 6627 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,617.03 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Net sender
Unknown type
859.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
Net sender
Unknown type
856.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004458Dac1c188ED4a8e71147872dDa121a81683
Net sender
Unknown type
834.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net sender
Unknown type
824.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,617.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
17,228.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:25:42 P.M.
-1 min
15 tx
20,368.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:24:41 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
6,626.59 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
-2 min
17 tx
33,402.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:23:41 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate21 tx
304,329.26 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:22:41 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
83,723.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:21:41 P.M.
-10 min
6 tx
479.61 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:15:41 P.M.
-12 min
1 tx
161.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:14:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
859.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
859.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0062a50ae16d720d92ad2a364c351fa83801624ff4f79a1743fc0e7dbb5a
814.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900424a074cdbf8ade78f647b505d536cd509dd7f1e20c01d0d1a6ce3ad16
820.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051000d23f97473eeb728634ac606f8efca2807dcfe52392a8b64a58c7749ef
824.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d005fd3f355b7897d8a2abc090a7dec6c9bb05cbc8bd4247cfc631c8e7f75
802.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x004694c9F48fFFFe91549994967961D4eD82FDe0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00394e08769bd356bce2b9d5cbcface3df7be83ca67b1892d3a6f0002101
803.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b00196e4cf0c3a75df35e386e5af4897c276ca860cc7f7fd55aadc587afae
834.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x004458Dac1c188ED4a8e71147872dDa121a81683
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062005fb25b892a8c58c27b52335565661742549312e0c3da42f2e3091591fb
856.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005700681146e6fa49fd08c9bdd962656b360422bb74daaa69b10bdd04388346
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0016006668e10c7e568589675205cdb1560703a044d25d8678f0fa3a49682659
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001200043906d171fedf5a21691f0ab918f0d05f791215000023434478f37b5f