Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,598.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,598.55 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net sender
Unknown type
985.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0057089B8552F37AAA2856bBB9a4F55d41eCB908
Net sender
Unknown type
961.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net sender
Unknown type
959.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net sender
Unknown type
945.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,598.55 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
20,368.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:24:41 P.M.
-1 min
17 tx
33,402.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:23:41 P.M.
+1 min
17 tx
17,228.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:25:42 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate21 tx
304,329.26 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:22:41 P.M.
+2 min
10 tx
6,626.59 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
83,723.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:21:41 P.M.
-9 min
6 tx
479.61 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:15:41 P.M.
-11 min
1 tx
161.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:14:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
985.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:19 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
985.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:19 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0007a42d625f070f6c02bfd2f2d43af289470b4f7a78a6a775c9552e3b5e
910.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:19 P.M.
From: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000003f9866163f986efad804aec6781b7045fce8150983d9c016d3dfdb56
959.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:19 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067001decfea38b3f3af7124f30957764ddffda32695ae25c7febd3525dc595
928.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x007608f689193F9111638cE5217112D01a13fb3A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e004abdf864b9674db82a7f4b9f2360bd4837a7a82c931a1627730df475f5
945.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00290e4e49aa5072875049890c2178f592b8060ff3b300869fba42cc8e35
961.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x0057089B8552F37AAA2856bBB9a4F55d41eCB908
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c00080e1bd1ebd7bf87468edb0600e4cfc5e69ee62d656c37d1f950711fd1
905.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x006fFAB882e0A632d8FFdf24437C6075e27BdcfD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400079f64b88d3d39ada5d26b157521e7d13f29ade21a5f9958fa851d7eef3