Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
89% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,047.8
Unexplained QUAI: 2,321.1
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 7% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
16
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
20,368.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 20369 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,047.8 QUAI across 16 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Net sender
Unknown type
1,274.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007BB4a7dfc6D9f770362Ed15aA1451994e18EE4
Net sender
Unknown type
1,258.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net sender
Unknown type
1,256.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Net sender
Unknown type
1,251.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,047.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
33,402.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:23:41 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate21 tx
304,329.26 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:22:41 P.M.
+1 min
15 tx
20,368.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:24:41 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
83,723.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:21:41 P.M.
+2 min
17 tx
17,228.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:25:42 P.M.
+3 min
10 tx
6,626.59 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
-8 min
6 tx
479.61 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:15:41 P.M.
-10 min
1 tx
161.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:14:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,274.29 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
1,038.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:53 P.M.
From: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b002f075592ba6693a6768057e3213a64307fad73a445f67b68430801971a
1,006.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:53 P.M.
From: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002300772ff0c80b1633959113a6b534f28ef10cd9d2249d741b4cf3dfc7a4bf
1,002.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:53 P.M.
From: 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025001e906c02c0d4fd281980d09024e6f0cb9b6d304231c6417243dedf237e
1,061.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x0055d86A564A4B4E159540cC0AA6EdfD132243A9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560060b642d4b0d1a7bbbf7d353d5e3927078e08aea4884fb3047bf89e8f01
1,130.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x0024Ef44119C8130BB018D737dCaFe5608dbD681
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065005944d875c6391daaf45df5d2304f0e2e4273760f4065bac7705438853a
985.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x0063D8375De6d5b0B20292391AA1e7654879eEFe
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c004a9e742e03dbbc2c784061189801252cdd5a4b54d571b4e10b173b41af
1,087.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x00468B2B0D7a2a447a54dfe6914A2ea763C13914
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0008c7811600ca653ffa8a2e0c24f4bc45f8db803332008f38dba75d8a60
1,152.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x00039Cdd80343cF5aa64541Aac146eF3E0b08E1e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00210061d2ecddb25080650f2967e102cea8fa10dff378320a7ebb9ff2285ca8
1,103.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0041d4217b5f9eac00440f2b1459dba552f95003ac7c92fdb8551920723d
1,061.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0075aab30431c4a494a4d734c5ea94b946e57cf6b29c9159aea2cacdca4a
1,274.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046006759969876c53f714dc06dcfe55772bd8a20e043c88e00a03f98f324c0
1,214.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
From: 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008000cdfcf1f992d5e8a221c5856e69a505a326e1da3166602004ca21defe0
1,162.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013001b031f82d22ddc3f2e58896bb31e38269e44f751f96f58a6f553d86d56
1,256.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:26 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016006bdfecb67932dd1bbe2fb120ff7373c2c6a76ac5c71f54fccbf8a2e5c1
1,251.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:07 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390007df348267bb07ee8d6f3f59450455e05fc92642c448746705b2897905
1,258.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:24:07 P.M.
From: 0x007BB4a7dfc6D9f770362Ed15aA1451994e18EE4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900194694a71accef4d4e4950f5b46a620b16b36412c0bc06feaffe1c1952
