Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 3:04:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,687.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000D2A00DA6dbA976985F39f292D61B95C70ba28.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000D2A00DA6dbA976985F39f292D61B95C70ba28.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
25,526.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000D2A00DA6dbA976985F39f292D61B95C70ba28
Net sender
Unknown type
21,757.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,768.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
161.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
Net receiver
Unknown type
161.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 25,526.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
3,768.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:03:28 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
25,687.85 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:05:28 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1,020.08 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:06:28 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2.53 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:01:28 P.M.
+5 min
51 tx
947.5 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:09:29 P.M.
-7 min
Best candidate11 tx
4,302,744.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:57:28 P.M.
+7 min
37 tx
1,028.19 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:11:29 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
11,298 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:56:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,757.52 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:04:58 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000D2A00DA6dbA976985F39f292D61B95C70ba28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,768.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:04:58 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037007eaf44233fef76a4c177dd96988e055c5378ffa5f7494301a43505445f
21,757.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:04:58 P.M.
From: 0x000D2A00DA6dbA976985F39f292D61B95C70ba28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b0043b1f49b7e2bc9d7294738b4710695f1009ba5660c6d22e8fc0e816411
161.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
Tx: 0x004a00621d4111af73cae4d7e8aa3ac096d381f9e88683fc2eae9bc8db08cad1