Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 2:51:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 2:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 221,679.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
221,679.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 221680 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
193,782.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net receiver
Unknown type
134,497.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Net receiver
Unknown type
28,105.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
27,897.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000b71f56BC8a67D9b51b68681Efd83F351B4aae
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,387.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 193,782.49 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
221,679.89 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:51:28 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
2,594.96 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:48:28 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
46,648.61 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:54:28 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
11,298 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:56:28 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate11 tx
4,302,744.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:57:28 P.M.
+10 min
1 tx
2.53 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:01:28 P.M.
+12 min
1 tx
3,768.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 3:03:28 P.M.
-13 min
1 tx
640.54 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 2:38:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
134,497.26 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
6,035.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x0020000e6edde7f628fbbd2f7ae73a16ba14b6234066421776db9e23934b8768
23,387.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x000b71f56BC8a67D9b51b68681Efd83F351B4aae
Tx: 0x000b00632f04bb5f2fe4cde7b00597e58014a1793e7e220f2d7dd212da5e6c13
134,497.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Tx: 0x00200061598fc0c10d47d4028f79e86e80a9b777627fd49877a6afd134523a09
8,552 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0012fb08D24Be68c8EcdAd727333e4CB8A18f529
Tx: 0x002100301e3ca256f2e05bb1a9fa8d3a66a4284dc17f6d4abd4a79c168fae1b0
7,792.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0026728681761aA57855B22FB6De4F3477Ce4FD9
Tx: 0x006000222739e078c9fa2a917e78800a5c1a43e9666b4fb6f4662431f58f671d
28,105.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Tx: 0x0064006c78c5b8764ed22bde35ad39d3568ff8d3c37266cdc79d63fae3dad42a
13,310.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 2:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Tx: 0x005000240bdd3a1712d4ba7ccc92c2f4911fd78ee51f836e4e762626bfa7f8ca