Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 1:45:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 1:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,551.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0026cFE014FeD4ac40883e8e173c3536f9F6ef6a • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0026cFE014FeD4ac40883e8e173c3536f9F6ef6a • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0026cFE014FeD4ac40883e8e173c3536f9F6ef6a
Net sender
Unknown type
10,490.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,490.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
60.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
10,551.51 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:46:28 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
16,619.92 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:43:28 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
4,318.42 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:47:28 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
159.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:42:28 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,311.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:48:28 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
97,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:40:28 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
2,263.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:38:28 P.M.
+8 min
2 tx
2.67 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:53:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,490.77 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 1:45:32 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0026cFE014FeD4ac40883e8e173c3536f9F6ef6a
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,490.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 1:45:32 P.M.
From: 0x0026cFE014FeD4ac40883e8e173c3536f9F6ef6a
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0050000e4c33dcc397f6bee2e387e11e1a659f63bb7796d4c7ee2d22f265179c
60.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 1:45:32 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Tx: 0x0073007127bfebe429602df1bfc67aab9d45d313f3458cd1849d9010006b9a9a