Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 1:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 1:20:00 P.M. to 07/10/2026, 1:21:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3.17
Unexplained QUAI: 900
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
903.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 • 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 903 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 • 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 1:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
3.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
903.17 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:20:28 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,741.28 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:18:28 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
5.77 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:15:28 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
2,922.32 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:12:28 P.M.
-10 min
33 tx
1,969.95 QUAI • 34 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:10:29 P.M.
+10 min
Best candidate1 tx
10,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:30:28 P.M.
-11 min
50 tx
1,717.73 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:09:29 P.M.
+13 min
1 tx
312.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 1:33:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3.17 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 1:20:20 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
3.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 1:20:20 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0067004f5a5f935872fb240d6bf603b7a3183e2516fe39d28aee610d117637ec