Spike bucket
07/10/2026, 11:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/10/2026, 11:02:00 A.M. to 07/10/2026, 11:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,158.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 -> 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/10/2026, 11:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,154.52 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net sender
Unknown type
2,650.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net sender
Unknown type
2,370.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Net sender
Unknown type
2,133.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 → 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
4 repeated flows • 4 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,154.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:02:28 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:01:28 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
7,158.52 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:03:28 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:04:28 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
1,956.27 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
2,135 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:58:28 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/10/2026, 11:06:28 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
2,372.83 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/10/2026, 10:57:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,650.28 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:42 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:53 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x0004000d3fe762b3f90f3781be0b8cb1871b853fab6f3cf7f438a09d28173a29
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:53 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x000f007b04c05e26f8c60eaf14f5fec5ffab3542ad431ee51aef8d3c07a49202
2,650.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:42 A.M.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000680bfcc89894a5a11996eac98004ee5a3a48e971f503f686f15532401c
2,133.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:42 A.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a004b7c648d46adb9a1e8c8b0b765357621fd563591fec160c45f631cf2f1
2,370.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:42 A.M.
From: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d000480eaab28c6eeab414d3556c8c2b21ad377bbbe67ffa7d964fbac90fc
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:42 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x005000617792371e648be4f4db0f76da1b60aad2902fca66123b7f94774e52a6
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/10/2026, 11:02:04 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00124aA47f2FA701a1B8E4519fC8ad9608EB692F
Tx: 0x005f002f5a9adbea4e5de7d9fbb2be7929bec35c9420741b81c5ec86eb0fe604